2006-2007 NBA Predictions
So, my pre-season NFL picks are looking a bit shaky. Who knew Arizona was going to make me look so stupid? And the Redskins are just getting ready to hit their stride. So, there is no need to jump ship or lose faith in your trusty prognosticator quite yet. The NBA season is upon us; and as we all know, I'm money in the bank when it comes to hoops. So, let's go ahead and gaze into the crystal ball.
Eastern Conference
1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Sometimes, standing pat is the best thing a team can do in the off-season. The Cavs were close last year, winning 50 games during the regular season and taking Detroit to the brink in the second round of the playoffs. Lebron James has gotten noticeably better in each of his three seasons, and there is no reason to think he's anywhere close to tapping his ultimate upside. The Cavs will also benefit from a healthy Larry Hughes, a reinforced bench, and a year of experience from head coach Mike Brown. The Cavs are talented, hungry, and well, they have Lebron.
2. Miami Heat: It won't be a surprise at all if the Heat get off to a slow start. This is a veteran team that may very well be a bit fat and happy early this season following their title run last year. No matter their mental state, Miami is still the most balanced team in the East.
3. Chicago Bulls: I still don't think this team is built for the playoffs, as Ben Wallace became a liability for the Pistons late last year. However, a tough veteran frontcourt, coupled with a dynamic young backcourt and a strong bench will make the Bulls a formidable foe over an 82 game season.
4. New Jersey Nets: The reason the Nets can hang with most any team in the NBA? Vince Carter gives New Jersey a legitimate scoring option from anywhere on the floor at any point in the game. The reasonm the Nets can't hang with the top dogs in the East come playoff time? Vince Carter has been lapped by Dwayne Wade and Lebron James in terms of late-game heroics. He can't go toe to toe with either of those guys and come out a winner.
5. Detroit Pistons: The sound you heard last June was the window closing on this group of Pistons. Detroit is still tough. They are still a deadly perimeter team. And they will still win their share of games and cause headaches in the playoffs. But there are no more titles in their near future, the rest of the league has gotten too good.
6. Indiana Pacers: This group of Pacers is quickly becoming the East version of the TrailGangsters. Despite their thuggish qualities, coach Rick Carlisle still has a pretty talented group on his hands.
7. Washington Wizards: A solid team, stuck in the mud. Gilbert Arenas is excellent, but not quite as dynamic as James or Wade. He's needs help to get over those teams in the post season. Problem being, the Wizards are still incredibly weak in the frontcourt, and light on the bench. Once again, it will all fall on Arenas's shoulders.
8. Orlando Magic: A strong finish last year has folks in Orlando thinking playoffs. They aren't crazy. The Magic have enough talent to push into the 8th spot in the watered down bottom half of the East. Dwight Howard and Darko Milicic could give teams fits.
9. Charlotte Bobcats: This is "How to build an NBA team 101." In three years, the Bobcats have drafted a promising young center (Emeka Okafor), a girtty young point guard (Raymond Felton), and a dymanic young scorer on the wing (Adam Morrison). They have filled out the roster with other young players that each serve a definitive purpose. Charlotte is still a bit too green to make it to the post-season, but this team is going places, and if things go really well, it may be sooner than later.
10. Milwaukee Bucks: The frontcourt looks formidable, assuming Bobby Simmons wakes up from his season long nap. However, is Moe Williams ready to run the point full time? And do the Bucks have a viable scoring option outside of Michael Redd?
11. Toronto Raptors: Keep your eye on this squad. Brian Colangelo has a stellar track record of building winners and he's already made some moves to shake things up in Toronto. The Raptors have a good big/little comob in Chris Bosh and TJ Ford, and they've brough in several European players to add some scoring punch. This team is a bit of an unknown, but they look more dangerous than in years past.
12. New York Knicks: Oh boy. I see the Knicks playing with a bit more pride this year, but pride doesn't change the fact that this team has six players who all play the same role: Aging, overpaid, never-won-nothin' two guard with a bad attitude.
13. Philadelphia 76ers: You know, a team with Allen Iverson and Chris Webber should be better than this, right? Maybe if the year was 1999, but it's almost 2007, and thesedays, that duo doesn't scare anyone.
14. Boston Celtics: Someone please tell me what Danny Ainge is trying to accomplish. Better yet, someone please tell Danny Ainge what Danny Ainge is trying to accomplish. This team is Paul Pierce and a bunch of young, but not-so-talented young guys. A mess really.
15. Atlanta Hawks: Speaking of messes. Lots of youth, but no direction. It will be another long year in Atlanta, and once again, the locals will barely notice.
Playoffs
Cavs over Magic in 4
Heat over Wizards in 5
Bulls over Pacers in 7
Nets over Pistons in 7
Cavs over Nets in 7
Heat over Bulls in 6
Cavs over Heat in 7
Western Conference
1. Phoenix Suns: The biggest "if" in the NBA this year, is "if" Amare Stoudemire can stay healthy. If he doesn't, the Suns will be very good, and come very close to making the finals. If he does, you can eliminate the "very close" part. For now, I'm banking that he gives them enough.
2. Dallas Mavericks: No reason to believe Dallas won't be right near the top of the pack again this year. Deep and balanced, the Mavs will approach 60 wins once again. But during their 4 game skid in the finals, a few things were exposed-- namely, a lack of a true second scoring option behind Dirk.
3. Houston Rockets: From non playoff team to the third seed in the West? That's how much I like the off-season acquisition of Shane Battier. He will be the glue that finally sticks this team together. Yao and McGrady will go off as a duo this season, reinforced by the garbage man, Battier.
4. Utah Jazz: Someone has to win the Northwest. My money is on Jerry Sloan and a solid frontcourt.
5. San Antonio Spurs: The grind of the NBA may be catching up to Tim Duncan, as he never got rolling last year in the fashion NBA fans are used to. The Spurs are still clearly a dangerous team capable of winning it all, but much like Detroit, it seems as if the competition has caught up with them.
6. Los Angeles Clippers: A small part of me believes last year may have been a bit of a mirage for the Clippers. But then I look at the roster and see Brand and Kaman manning the frontcourt, which makes it hard to believe the Clippers will slip much, if at all.
7. Los Angeles Lakers: It will be a one-man show again for the Lakers. But when that "one-man" is Kobe Bryant, it's quite a show. If the Lakers can get something from their young center Andrew Bynum, they may be able to jump a few teams in the west. If not, Kobe will once again shoulder the load all by himself.
8. New Orleans/OKC Hornets: Quietly, the Hornets had a near-perfect off-season. They addressed their need for size in the draft, and also acquired Tyson Chandler from the Bulls. In the meantime, the signed Peja Stojakovich to add some scoring punch and open the floor for dynamic young guard Chris Paul.
9. Sacramento Kings: They came close. A few years ago, the had the Lakers on the ropes in the 4th quarter of the 7th game of the West Finals. But they couldn't close the deal, and they've been steadily dipping ever since. The Kings still have a pulse, but losing coach Rick Adelman will hurt more than many people expect.
10. Denver Nuggets: This team is always on the cusp of total implosion. George Karl is NOT the man to lead this bunch, and it will get very ugly in Denver this year.
11. Golden State Warriors: The Warriors have become a somewhat "cute" playoff pick this pre-season, but the people making those claims obviously haven't take a long look at theirfrontcourt. There is "small" and then there is silly-- the Warriors are silly small on the inside, and while Baron Davis and Jason Richardson will put on a nightly show, they will struggle to win with their lack of size.
12. Minnesota Timberwolves: The "76ers of the West," Minnesota has simply missed their window of opportunity. Kevin Garnett is holding this franchise above water all by himself, but not even he can tread much longer.
13. Memphis Grizzlies: Much like his arrival in Houston will boost the Rockets, Shane Battier's departure from Memphis will hurt the Grizzlies. And the the serious injury to Pau Gasol ensures a slow start for a team that can't afford one.
14. Seattle Supersonics: If an entire NBA game could be played beyond the three-point line, Seattle would be in good shape. The Soncis would be best served to trade Ray Allen and start over.
15. Portland Trailblazers: If Portland doesn't have the worst record in the NBA this year, I will walk from here to Oregon, barefoot and naked, with a sign reading "I'm an idiot" hanging from neck. Now, THAT will give Portland fans something to look forward to!
Playoffs
Suns over Hornets in 5
Mavericks over Lakers in 6
Rockets over Clippers in 5
Spurs over Jazz in 5
Suns over Spurs in 7
Rockets over Mavericks in 6
Suns over Rockets in 6
NBA Finals
Cavs over Suns in 7 (Lebron ends Cleveland's title drought and writes another chapter in his increasingly legendary book in a game 7 for the ages).
